World Cup 2018 - PORTUGAL I Betting Tips, Odds* and Prognosis
The Iberian duel between Spain and Portugal makes for a real smash hit in Group B of the World Cup 2018! The one-sided constellation in this group with Portugal as the clear favorite opens up lucrative betting opportunities. We will give you an insight of the most promising ones in our analysis. We also provide additional facts regarding the course of the qualification and roster. So our prognosis about Portugal’s appearance at the World Cup 2018 provides a solid basis for your betting tips for THE football event of the year.
Content on this page
- World Cup tips and prognosis
- Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Portugal
- Roster Analysis
- Qualification and form check
- Previous final round participations
- 15.06.2018 | 19:00 | Portugal - Spain
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 20.06.2018 | 13:00 | Portugal - Morocco
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 25.06.2018 | 19:00 | Portugal - Iran
- ODDS COMPARISON
How could successful betting tips with Portuguese participation look like at the World Cup 2018?
It’s no secret that everybody assumes that the two top nations Spain and Portugal will make it past the group stage. Anything else would border a miracle and the bookmakers are acting accordingly. Therefore we don’t really recommend the usual betting tips on the qualification of certain nations in this group, but we favor betting strategies, that take the one-sided group constellation into account accordingly, since only the going further of one of the two undisputed favorites won’t make much profits. William Hill for example has interesting possibilities for betting tips like these, where you can place bets on combination of the two first placed teams in the group at attractive odds. William Hill lists the constellation with Spain as group winner as well as with Portugal as group winner with odds of 2 and 3 respectively.
We also found great odds of three for a bet on Portugal as the sole group winner at Interwetten. If Group B will go as expected the group win will be decided in the Iberian derby, in which Portugal doesn’t necessarily have the worse cards. For this direct duel between the Iberian teams we could find odds of 4.60 on a Portugal win at 888sports and since the situation of the two favorites in Group A isn’t as explicit as the good odds convey according to our analysis, we sense a real secret betting tip here for the World Cup 2018. Due to the clear decline in playing level to the other teams in Group B and considering the Spanish-Portuguese offensive prowess a betting tip on more than 14.5 scored goals in the whole group also is at hand. Tipico lists this bet with odds of 1.65.
One also needs to mention the possibility of betting on scored goals by Christiano Ronaldo of course. Placing a bet on Ronaldo becoming the best scorer of the tournament is listed as the number four bet at Intertops with odds of 13. We want to emphasize, however, that betting tips on the best scorer can generally be risky, since contenders for the “golden shoe” can really only be discussed in the knock out stage of the World Cup 2018.
Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Portugal
- Betting Strategy Group Placement: 2 single bets on
1. ESP / 2. POR
1. POR / 2. ESP
- To score more than 1.5 goals against Iran
- Lucrative bet tip: Portugal to win against Spain
What does the roster of Portugal at the World Cup 2018 look like?
Portugal’s head coach Fernando Santos can choose from an interesting mix of experienced top stars and promising young talents when nominating his roster. Apart from the well-known Christiano Ronaldo and Pepe you can also find Bernardo Silva, Nelson Semeda and Goncalo Guedes in Portugal’s pool of players. All of them are undisputed top performers of European top clubs and only a bit over 20 years old. In the course of the World Cup qualification Santos usually sent his team on the field in a 4-4-2 formation. Joao Mario and Bernado Silva are the ideal players on the roster for this system, because they can provide the necessary speed on the outer flank.
In the friendly matches before the World Cup they also tested a 4-3-3 against smaller opponents, in order to be able to play more offensively against stonewalling opponents. Taking a glance at the group constellation this step to more tactical variety is an understandable idea of head coach Santos according to our analysis. Iran and Morocco are two opponents that may have very deep defensive lines. Due to the good balance between experienced players, top stars in the best football age and hungry youngsters one definitely has to count with the European champion at the World Cup 2018 – they may even be a secret tip for the World Cup title.
How did Portugal qualify for the World Cup 2018?
There hasn’t been much room for discussion in the qualification group of the reigning European champion: With 27 points each Portugal and Switzerland finished 14 points ahead of the third placed team of the group. There still was excitement until the end, since Portugal had the chance to get even with Switzerland point-wise in the direct duel on the last game day. They were able to do so and locked down the secured final round participation at the World Cup thanks to the better goal ratio, while Switzerland had to go to the play off.
The start into the qualification was anything but promising for Portugal though: They clearly lost 0:2 on the first game day against co-favorite Switzerland. This loss was followed by an impressive run of 9 wins in a row though, including the successful revenge against Switzerland. To be fair one needs to mention, however, that the remaining teams in the group weren’t any real bogey opponents for Portugal (Hungary, Faroe Islands, Latvia and Andorra). The star-studded offense around Christiano Ronaldo enjoyed scoring goals in the qualification matches. 32 shots found their way into the opponents’ goal. Therefore the Portuguese are a hot tip for placing bets on scored goals. Not only their offense is on international top level though.
Their defense was also a force in the qualification and only received 4 goals in the qualification matches for the World Cup 2018. The experienced Pepe is the leader on defense. He forms Portugal’s inside defense together with the currently injured Ricardo Ferreira. After the strong qualification and the EURO title 2016 we expect Portugal to come to Russia with a broad chest and therefore they should be able to give Spain a hard fight for first place.
What kind of record does Portugal have at World Cups?
The Portuguese selection can look back at 6 World Cup final round participations. The team from the Iberian Peninsula qualified for the first time in 1966 and they also reached their best result back in the form of a third place. With the participation at the World Cup 2018 Portugal was able to get a ticket for a World Cup final round for the fifth time in a row and slowly but steadily they are turning into a World Cup regular. After Portugal disappointed at the last World Cup in Brazil and only finished third in their group behind Germany and the USA, they were able to win the European championship title two years later. The success at the EURO was followed by a strong, yet a bit unlucky Confed Cup participation that gives reason to hope for more. So if you take a look back at the results of the younger past, Portugal without a doubt needs to be seen as one of the absolute top nations.
*All odds: status 05.02.2018