World Cup 2018 - POLAND I Betting Tips, Odds* and Prognosis
After a lengthy drought, at this 2018 World Cup Poland is looking to return to its successful tournament performances of the past and show the rest of the world that they are a force to be reckoned with. In a very balanced Group G, the Poles will have to handle the slightly favored Colombians as well as Japan and Senegal. The goal of the “Biało-Czerwoni” is clear: for the first time since 1986, to make it through the preliminary round. The squad of Adam Nawalka have a hard task ahead of them. And the story of Poland’s performance at this 2018 World Cup is very difficult for experts and bookmakers to predict. For this reason, we wish to present to you the best World Cup betting tips focused on Poland and show you the most lucrative betting strategies along with the associated odds of each. An analysis of the squad as well as a review of Poland’s previous World Cup appearances are essential as well, of course.
Content on this page
- World Cup tips and prognosis
- Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Poland
- Roster analysis
- Qualification and form check
- Previous final round participations
- 19.06.2018 | 16:00 | Poland - Senegal
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 24.06.2018 | 19:00 | Poland - Colombia
- ODDS COMPARISON
- 28.06.2018 | 15:00 | Poland - Japan
- ODDS COMPARISON
What World Cup 2018 betting tips do we recommend for Poland?
Betting on individual matches in Group G is, as we have mentioned, rather risky because of the predicted balance in that group. In their first match at the 2018 World Cup, Poland will have to deal with Senegal. Here, even though the “Biało-Czerwoni” are regarded as the favorite, quite considerable odds of as much as 2.20 are to be had. For concrete betting tips on the other group matches, from our perspective we recommend waiting until after the first round of matches.
The tight make-up of this group as a whole is reflected in the betting odds: for a bet on Poland winning the group, you can expect odds ranging from 2.70 to 2.90, while bets on Poland being eliminated in this preliminary round receive odds of around 2.25. Frankly, we can’t quite understand these low odds. For Poland to move forward into the round-of-16, various bookmakers are offering odds from 1.40 to 1.50. In other words, their chances of doing so are seen as thoroughly realistic – in fact, most experts believe that Poland will move on to the knockout round. In our estimation, as well, we believe that the quality in the ranks of the Polish team will suffice to get them into the round-of-16 at this 2018 World Cup. After that, England or Belgium – who will be their most likely opponents – will probably end their dream of making it to the quarterfinals. That said, if Poland were to make it out of the group stage, this would represent their best World Cup result since 1986. For them to be eliminated in the round-of-16, the odds are a respectable 2.60.
If you work under the assumption that Poland will neither reach the quarterfinals at the 2018 World Cup, nor finish last in their group and be eliminated from the tournament, we recommend the following lucrative betting strategy which, for example, you can pursue at Interwetten: We suggest laying two bets – one on Poland being eliminated in the round-of-16, and one on them finishing third in Group G. The odds for these outcomes are 2.60 and 4.60 respectively. Should one of these two eventualities occur – you can look forward to winnings of € 6 and € 26 in each case.
Yet another extremely profitable bet would be on Robert Lewandowski becoming the top goal scorer at the 2018 World Cup. The range of odds on this happening is currently rather broad: Tipico 20.00, Bethard 26.00 and 888sport 34.00. Since Poland does not have an easy opponent in the group and we cannot necessarily expect for them to move forward to the round-of-16, it would only be a moderate surprise for “Lewa” to become top goal scorer. Alternatively, we recommend a head-to-head goal-scorer bet through 888sport. Here, you can bet whether Lewandowksi or Edinson Cavani scores more goals at the 2018 World Cup. The odds for both of these players are currently quoted at 1.85.
You can also lay Poland-specific bets at Tipico. If the “Biało-Czerwoni” win all group matches, a bet to that effect will be rewarded with a 4.8-fold return on your original investment. In addition, you can also bet on how many goals Poland scores in the group phase. For over 4.5 goals, you would receive top odds of 2.10, while the odds for less than 4.5 goals are quoted at 1.65.
Our Top 3 Betting Tips for Poland
- To qualify for the round of the last 16
- To score over 4.5 goals in the group stage
- Best internal topscorer: Robert Lewandowski
How should we evaluate Poland’s roster for the 2018 World Cup?
Poland will present a very compact team at the 2018 World Cup. The team is high in quality and has many experienced performers in its ranks. Poland is distinguished, above all, by its team unity. Coach Adam Nawalka is generally committed to a classic 4-4-2 system, though often with an attacking midfielder behind superstar Robert Lewandowksi in a 4-4-1-1 formation. In the midfield itself, this experienced trainer prefers to go with a “double 6” and a fast transition via the wings. The solo center forward is often served with long balls.
In goal, Poland has a small luxury problem: While Wojciech Szczesny is only a benchwarmer at Juventus, Lukasz Fabianski has won over fans at Swansea City this season with outstanding performances yet again. Who of the two will ultimately get the nod remains to be decided. Defensively, Kamel Glik of AS Monaco has now established himself as the backfield leader. Next to him, his regular partner at center back became Michal Pazdan (Legia Warsaw). However, there is competition at this position in the form of Jaroslaw Jach (Crystal Palace). In the defensive midfield, as usual it will be Grzegorz Krychowiak who will be pulling the strings, though he is currently going through hard times with West Brom. Since he has transferred from PSG, we have seen a significant drop-off in performance. With Piotr Zielinksi from SSC Napoli, the Poles have a second top player in their midfield for the 2018 World Cup. He is utilized in different ways by Coach Nawalka, occasionally running forward on the right wing or as an attacking midfielder. Likewise in the central midfield, the Poles have Karol Linetty (Sampdoria Genoa) on their squad.
On the wings, we should mention above all Kamil Grosicki (Hull City), who generally performs better on the national team than he does for his club, and veteran Jakub Blaszczykowski (VfL Wolfsburg), who will likely have to settle for the role of joker card, at least initially. We see the strengths of the Poles in the form of a fit Lukasz Piszczek (BVB) on the right wing, as well as in the middle. On the left side, no single player has really managed to lock down a spot on the Polish team. That said, Maciej Rybus (Lok Moscow) made a very good impression in the last two qualifying matches. The star of the show, of course, is Robert Lewandowski (Bayern Munich). His immediate back-up will undoubtedly be the now fully recuperated Arkadiusz Milik (SSC Napoli), who might also appear in a more attack-oriented formation playing as a second forward.
How did Poland manage to qualify for the 2018 World Cup?
Poland couldn’t complain about the draw they received for qualifying for the 2018 World Cup – they were put into a very do-able group. Opponents Denmark, Montenegro and Romania represented no particular threat to the ambitions of the Polish team. The Romanians, above all, disappointed in every aspect, while the Danes established themselves as the toughest competition. The 4:0 hammering they received in Copenhagen was their only defeat on the path to the 2018 World Cup. The second point-loss came for the “Biało-Czerwoni” in a first-round draw in Kazakhstan. Otherwise, the Pole’s march to the finals was dominant. On the last day of play, they finally punched their ticket for the 2018 World Cup in Russia. The final standings documented a goal differential of 28:14, with the 14 goals-against in 10 matches shedding light on the fact that their defense is not always as steady as it might be. Robert Lewandowski was outstanding, once again the absolute goal-scoring king in UEFA qualifying. This Bayern Munich star was responsible for 16 of 28 goals.
How has Poland performed in previous World Cup finals?
The 2018 World Cup represents Poland’s ninth participation in the World Cup finals. The greatest successes in the history of Polish football lie a long time back, in the years 1974 through 1986. Poland’s best performances were in the 1974 and 1982 tournaments, when they managed third-place finishes in both cases. In the runner’s-up match, the Poles twice achieved a prestigious success: In 1974, they wrestled down Brazil and, eight years later, they were able to beat France in the match for third place. Since 1986, Poland’s World Cup record has been somewhat less rosy: between 1990 and 2014, in seven attempts they were eliminated five times during qualifying, including the last two World Cup finals in 2010 in South Africa as well as 2014 in Brazil. At the last two World Cup finals which they participated in, in 2002 and 2006, the Poles were eliminated after the group phase. High time, in other words, for the Poles to show at the 2018 World Cup that they can do better. Looking at the quality of the squad, it is reasonable to expect that they do indeed survive the group stage.
*All odds: status 14.02.2018