Betting tip World Cup 2018: Germany - Mexico

Sunday, 17.06.2018 at 17:00 o’clock (CET)

The world champions get their tournament underway

This coming Sunday, the reigning World Cup champions from Germany will make their premier in “Mission: Title Defense”. That said, in Mexico they have a thoroughly unpleasant opponent to face. In our betting tips for the 2018 World Cup, we provide you with everything you need to know about this encounter in order to help you consider your wagers. This match kicks off on June 17 at 5 PM (CET).

Germany

  • better personnel
  • won all 3 previous World Cup matches against Mexico
  • didn’t drop a single point during qualifying

Mexico

  • opponent under greater pressure
  • strong in the switching game

Current Form of Germany

Naturally, the team from Germany belongs to an elite group of favorites with a clear chance of taking home the title. However, in our mind Joachim Löw’s lads are not the absolute hottest candidates to hoist the trophy. This impression has manifested itself more and more in recent friendlies. The fact is: Of the 4 internationals they have contested in 2018 in preparation for their encounter against Mexico, they have only won one of those. Germany only narrowly beat Group A team Saudi Arabia 2:1. Though the Löw squad clearly dictated the pace of the match, whenever they pushed forward they frequently appeared not completely focused, almost casual at times. Something you simply cannot afford against a highly motived team from North America. The German offense in particular, which had been so highly praised during qualifying, has not been able to live up to its potential in recent weeks. Prior to the duel with Saudi Arabia, Germany suffered its first defeat against Austria since 1986, losing 1:2, and especially during the second half, appeared slightly overmatched by the aggressive and committed performance of their neighbors to the south. However, we should point out that Germany did not field their absolute best team for this match, with the occasional regular missing, especially defensively. The fact that the German defense was not always watertight was clearly shown by the fact that their opponent, Austria, managed no fewer than 8 shots on Manuel Neuer’s goal. The fitness of their captain is yet another factor that needs to be added to the discussion, with Neuer making his first comeback from injury in the aforementioned match in Klagenfurt. Furthermore, while they dominated two-thirds of the match, they were unable to convert ball possession into a complete success. At least against Saudi Arabia, they were able to cash in 2 of their 7 shots. One clear advantage: Germany is a well-established team, including a defense that drives the team forward. One question mark revolves around Mesut Özil, who is currently dealing with knee problems. Strengths: During qualifying for Russia, the 2014 world champions proved dominant. They played in 10 matches, winning all 10 of them. An achievement not matched by any other team in the course of the qualifying campaign. However: In each of their most recent 4 matches, Germany conceded at least one goal, meaning that a bet on both teams to score does not seem improbable. Germany’s advantage: The Löw squad is one of those “tournament teams”, having clearly demonstrated on multiple occasions in the past that they are capable of pulling out their best performance on the day when it matters most.

Current Form of Mexico

Mexico has the potential to be an extremely unpleasant opponent for Germany. Though the North Americans will still be clear longshots in the match on Sunday. And this isn’t merely because they have a squad that is less strong. Mexico’s most recent results were likewise not particularly consistent. They lost their last friendly before the World Cup finals 0:2 against Denmark, while against Scotland they only eked out a very narrow 1:0 win. That was their only victory in the last 4 internationals, giving them the identical track record as Germany. Yet another important fact: In those 4 matches, they never scored more than one goal. In fact, the goal they netted against the Scots was the only one Juan Carlos Osorio’s team managed in all of those matches. In their match against Denmark, we noted a particular problem with respect to efficiency. Mexico enjoyed significantly more ball possession and a greater number of goal chances, though were unable to cash in on 4 clear opportunities. As strengths of this team, we should mention their work ethic and physical presence above all, while they are also strong on the counterattack. We also feel that Mexico is thoroughly capable of causing problems for Germany in set-piece situations. That notwithstanding, Mexico was very dominant overall during their World Cup qualifying campaign. In 10 matches, they suffered just one defeat, scoring 16 goals in total and allowing only 7. However, in the upcoming direct duel with world champions Germany, Mexico will be cast in the role of underdog. Of their previous 11 encounters, Mexico was only able to win one, to go along with 4 draws and 6 defeats. Yet we should mention another fact: Mexico will be able to play an unfettered game, while their opponents are under significantly more pressure. The North Americans have also been matched against Germany in the actual World Cup finals before, though were ultimately vanquished on all 3 occasions. In terms of personnel, we feel that Mexico will be able to field a good team, with their dynamic players on the wings – Corona on the right, Lozano on the left – likely to generate good opportunities. Consequently, it is fair to assume that Osorio’s team will be looking for rapid counterattacks in their first match of the tournament. We also wish to point out that coach Osoria rested a number of his regulars in their final warm-up against Denmark, meaning that we can expect a much stronger squad from Mexico this coming Sunday.

Prediction and Betting Tip

In contrast to their most recent warm-up matches, we can be certain that Germany will pick up their performance and demonstrate better concentration. Because the odds on Germany winning, which for the most part average 1.50, are thoroughly attractive, we would certainly recommend this option. Therefore, our betting tip is: Tip 1.

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