Betting tip World Cup 2018: Denmark - Australia

Thursday, 21.06.2018 at 14:00 o’clock (CET)

Denmark can take a big step towards the round of last 16

Next Thursday the second round of matches will be on the program in Group C of the World Cup 2018, featuring the clash between Denmark and Australia. As usual, we deliver all important information about the duel between these 2 teams - whose starting positions could hardly be any more different - in our World Cup Betting Tips. Kick-off is at 14:00 (CET) on 21 June.

Denmark

  • Strong in counter attacks
  • Can trust in its keeper

Australia

  • Physically tough
  • Stable defense

Current Form Denmark

Denmark started with a narrow 1-0 victory over Peru and thus successfully in the World Cup tournament in Russia. A result, which we also predicted in our World Cup betting tips in the form of recommending a victory bet on the Scandinavians. However, the result should by no means obscure the poor performance of Age Hareides team. A well-performed counterattack and a strong finish was enough to bring the counterpart from South America to its knees. Another conclusion of our analysis: Denmark can trust on a strong keeper in person of Leicester keeper Kasper Schmeichel. With some brilliant parades, he held victory for his team. Furthermore Andreas Christensen from Chelsea also played an important part in Denmarks defensive lines. Despite his lack of match practice in the Premier League, he took over the role as defensive leader and was able to convince specifically by speed and good timing. However, other parts of the team weren’t able to keep up with the performance of Denmarks strong defense. Especially on the front line, the Scandinavians were almost completely ineffective, as Nicolai Jörgensen was not really involved in the game. It is quite possible that Coach Hareide will make a change here. Denmark also had problems with handling technical skilled opponents in a tight space, which was practiced by Peru again and again (a problem, that Denmark probably won’t have to face against Australia). Denmark itself tried - as usual – provoking counter attacks using intelligent movement on the field and occasionally aggressive attacking, which also succeeded one time or another. Nevertheless, the statistic proves a happy victory: After 90 minutes, Denmark had only 3 shots on goal to show. For comparison: Peru recorded twice as much in this opening game. Also a bit of a letdown: Denmark superstar Christian Eriksen, who disappointed as offensive „pivot point“ in the match against Peru. But maybe Eriksens self-confidence was refueled after the victory above Peru and he will show another face against Australia. Another interesting fact: Opponent Australia is forced to invest more in its offensive after the defeat against France, which could open up some space for Danish counter attacks. In summary, if Denmark can not improve its offensive playing in order to break the Australian defensive stronghold, we will will face an extremely close encounter with only a few highlights. Accordingly, one could choose an over / under bet to less than 2.5 hits. Another victory of the Hareide-Elf seems also possible, simply because of its stronger squad. A third option to consider is a draw-no-bet on Denmark, as Australia has to score and you would not lose your bets in a draw.

Current Form Australia

Australia narrowly missed a surprise against France and therefore the European Championship finalist from 2016. At the end there was a 1:2-defeat to book, which we were able to predict correctly in our past World Cup Betting Tips, recommending an over/under bet. Concerning the game itself, Australias problems in the match against France were obvious. On the one hand, it simply lacks the necessary playing skills to confront opponents with serious problems. On the other hand, the playing style of the "Socceroos" seems a bit too one-dimensional, mostly operating with high balls in order bring out the physical advantages of many players in the squad. Unsurprisingly, the match did not turn out very well against the 2016 European finalist, but it was in fact standards that created dangerous situations. There is no denying a certain parallel to Denmark: Australia also has problems in the attacking center, it lacks a target player who can prevail against top defenders. Lucerne-attacker Tomi Juric is most likely to be able to do that and after his substitution in the first group match, he was able to get things moving, which his predecessor Andrew Nabbout absolutely failed to do. It is quite possible that coach Bert van Marwijk will make a change in the starting squad here. The 2 wingers Kruse and Leckie are also to be highlighted positively . Above all, Matthew Leckie was one of the most ambitious players on the field and always brought pace in the offensive attacks of Australia. But on the bottom line, a performance like the one against France is altogether just too little for highest international levels, which is also proven by a closer look at the statistics: The 1-1 equalizer (by penalty) by Mile Jedinak was the only shot on goal, which Australia could deliver in the entire 90 minutes. In return, France was able to finish 7 shots on the Australian goal – and the Equipe Tricolore acted by no means in its best form. Accordingly, we also see Australia as an underdog in the match against Denmark. 4 shots on goal by both teams in 180 minutes played so far in the entire World Cup 2018 do not necessarily indicate an offensive spectacle for Thursday. Of the offensive qualities that could still be seen in the test matches with victories against Hungary (2:1) and the Czech Republic (4:0) was little to see against France. Also the direct duel with Denmark does not necessarily speak for the van Marwijk-Elf: 3 times they had previously been dealing with Denmark, which resulted in 2 defeats, but also 1 winning. By the way, two of these 3 games ended up with less than 2.5 hits. Another decisive factor for the Australian performance will by the daily form of Aaron Moy, who was one of the key factors for the creative build-up in Australia‘s game against France.

Forecast and Betting Tip

For Australia, this duel is about all or nothing. A defeat would probably mean the elimination in the group stage for the Socceroos. Nevertheless, we do not assume that the playing style of the multiple World Cup participant from Down Under changed much since the defeat against France. Instead we expect, as mentioned in our analysis, a match without many highlights. Our betting tip: Under 2.5 goals.

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